Only two world championship matches in nearly half a century featured 50+ point upsets. And both of those matches (Kasparov-Kramnik in 2000, Kramnik-Topalov in 2006) were relatively short, meaning that upsets were more likely. Karpov’s chances do improve; Fischer’s expected score shrinks to 57.7%. However, Karpov is definitely still the
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garry kasparov vs anatoly karpov
